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- By Mark Medina
- 09 Dec 2025
As numerous supporters in the UK focus on club season-opening performances or discuss upcoming autumn internationals, the contest for World Cup 2027 qualifying rages on unabated.
Chile earned their back-to-back appearance at the tournament with a stunning playoff victory against Samoa last month, leaving only one place left up for grabs for Australia in two years. At the same time, Paraguay surprised Brazil by twenty points in the opening match of their playoff.
The second leg takes place on Saturday in JacareÃ, near São Paulo, while Brazil's men's team aims to follow their women's success and qualify for the first occasion.
Regardless of Paraguay manages a surprise aggregate victory, or Brazil bounces back after head coach their coach's departure, the lineup for November's qualifying event in Dubai will be confirmed. The Namibian team, the Belgian squad, and Samoa are already confirmed their places for the Dubai-based competition from 8-18 November.
Several additional teams have also earned their spots. The Hong Kong China team achieved first-time qualification following defeating Korea 70-22 in the summer, while the Zimbabwean squad will return to the sport's most prestigious stage for the first occasion in over three decades after claiming victory in the Rugby Africa Cup.
The knock-on effect of Chile's playoff success ensures that Los Condores will play against Italy for the first occasion in November during the autumn internationals, taking the place of Samoa who must compete in Dubai.
World Rugby's chief executive described Chile an "exciting and rapidly rising power" in announcing the forthcoming fixture in the Italian city. While domestic rugby markets aim for larger crowds, Chilean rugby is thriving. A capacity crowd of over 20,000 saw the qualifying win in the coastal city, and head coach Pablo Lemoine has led the squad on an upward trajectory since taking over in recent years.
The 50-year-old former Uruguay international forward has been making an impact for many years: signed by Bristol in the 1990s, he memorably broke through England defensive line to touch down at the 2003 global tournament.
His influence as head coach has been similarly powerful: Chile have risen to seventeenth place, their highest-ever position. At the previous tournament in Europe, they were beaten in all matches, conceding 215 points and registering 27, including a 71-0 defeat to England.
Nevertheless, they proudly found the positives, and after the tournament draw in Sydney on 3 December, the coach can start preparations seriously. They hosted the Scottish team last year, losing 52-11 in front of twenty-four thousand supporters, and although they were beaten over two legs by the Uruguayan side in the first 2027 playoff, they achieved a narrow away victory in the Uruguayan capital.
Samoa, meanwhile, have participated in all World Cup since 1991, but are currently sitting in 16th place in the men's rankings. They were winless in this year's Pacific Nations Cup, resulting in playoff misery against Chile, and the need to face nations such as Belgium brings additional challenge for the rugby-loving country.
Apart from specific teams' fortunes, it is worth noting how changed the expanded competition will look in 2027. For the first time, there will be a round of 16 with six groups of four instead of four pools of five teams. Group phase risk is much lower because the top four third-place sides will also advance.
The organizers, the Australian team, are now ranked seventh in the world, which means they would miss out on a top seed and might meet one of the Springboks, New Zealand, the Irish, France, the English, or the Pumas in Pool A. They may rise into the top six during a busy November, though: the English team, the Italian side, Ireland, and France are their fixtures, with a game versus Japan in Tokyo additionally planned for October 25th.
The Welsh team, meanwhile, are teetering in 12th, with the Japanese side below, and the consequences of falling to thirteenth and into the third seeding group are possibly severe.
Another new dimension for the next World Cup is the presence of five teams from the Americas: the Argentine team, Uruguay, the United States, Canada, and the Chilean squad – with Paraguay or Brazil possibly making it six. From World Rugby's perspective, engagement from the Americas is positive, particularly with the 2031 World Cup set to be hosted by the United States, and the host selection for the 2035 edition was launched last month.
For now, however. The second installment of Brazil versus Paraguay sets up a four-team qualifying contest, combined with a potential standings change throughout Europe in the coming month. Regardless of the outcome, Chile's qualification for a second Rugby World Cup has already made them as a clear success story.
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